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Captain America Brave New World’s Second Weekend Drop Puts Future of Marvel in Serious Question

February 22, 2025  ·
  W. D. W. Pro
Captain America

(L-R): Director Julius Onah, Xosha Roquemore, and Anthony Mackie behind the scenes of Marvel Studios' CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD. Photo by Eli Adé. © 2024 MARVEL.

“Captain America: Brave New World” has emerged as one of Marvel Studios’ most underperforming films, marked by significant box office declines and a tepid global reception. Despite an initial domestic opening of $88.5 million over the three-day weekend and almost exactly$100 million across the four-day Presidents’ Day weekend (including Thursday previews as well), the film experienced a sharp 68% drop in its second weekend according to projections, earning only $28.1 million. However, the 82% drop from first Friday to second Friday signals that the projections could be rosy and this film could be much worse than analysts are giving it credit.

Historically, the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) has maintained robust box office performances, with films typically experiencing moderate second-weekend declines. For instance, “Black Panther” saw a mere 44.7% drop, while “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2” and “Avengers: Infinity War” each had a 55.5% decline.

 

In contrast, the steep (minimum) 68% fall of “Brave New World” places it among the MCU’s poorest performers in terms of audience retention.

Several factors contribute to this underperformance. The film received mixed reviews, with a 49% approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes and an average rating of 5.5/10. Critics noted that while Anthony Mackie capably assumes the mantle of Captain America, the film is “too routine and overstuffed with uninteresting easter eggs to feel like a worthy standalone adventure.”

Additionally, audiences polled by CinemaScore awarded the film a “B–,” the lowest grade for an MCU film to date.

Production challenges further exacerbated the film’s struggles. Insiders reported unenthusiastic test screenings, leading to costly reshoots and a chaotic production process. The portrayal of Harrison Ford’s character, Red Hulk, also sparked political sensitivities, prompting a title change from “New World Order” to “Brave New World.” These behind-the-scenes issues likely impacted the film’s coherence and overall quality. They also may have inflated the costs beyond the original budget. Some believe the break-even for this film could be between $800 million and $900 million.

Internationally, “Brave New World” has faced stiff competition, particularly from China’s animated blockbuster “Ne Zha 2,” which has grossed over $1.8 billion worldwide, becoming the highest-grossing animated film of all time. In contrast, “Brave New World” garnered a modest $10.5 million in China during its opening weekend.

Captain America Brave New World

(L-R): Prime Minister Ozaki (Takehiro Hira), Captain America/Sam Wilson (Anthony Mackie), and President Thaddeus Ross (Harrison Ford) in Marvel Studios‘ CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD, exclusively on Disney+. Photo courtesy of Marvel Studios. © 2024 MARVEL.

This disparity highlights the film’s lopsided dependence on the domestic box office, limiting its global appeal.

Given these challenges, projections indicate that “Brave New World” may struggle to reach even $300 million worldwide. Disney could be faced with a flop that costs them hundreds of millions of dollars and challenges films like Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny or John Carter of Mars for major historical theatrical losses.

The underperformance of “Captain America: Brave New World” serves as a critical moment for Marvel Studios, suggesting that even established franchises are not immune to audience fatigue and market competition. Marvel may have finally reached a point where its future, outside of a few well-established characters, is in serious doubt. 

Author: W. D. W. Pro
Founder, Publisher, CEO WDW Pro is an opinionated commentator on all things Disney and Entertainment. He runs one of the most-viewed pop culture news channels on YouTube with many millions of views every month. First becoming well-known on WDWMagic.com, the author was brought on to work at Pirates and Princesses. Pro has previously released exclusive details on a variety of rumors and leaks before they were made public. Some exclusives have included breaking info on new Epcot attractions, detailing the light saber experience at the Star Wars hotel, reporting a Harrison Ford injury severity before anyone else, revealing Hugh Jackman was coming to the MCU, Storm would be linked with Wakanda and more. WDW Pro has written articles viewed by millions of readers while maintaining an 87% accuracy rating for revealing "insider" information in 2020. In 2021, the author had a better than 90% accuracy on reported leaks and rumors. Pro joined That Park Place on June 22nd, 2021. The author's accolades include being featured on The Daily Wire, cited by Timcast, numerous references by YouTube personalities, as well as having material tweeted by Dr. Jordan Peterson. WDW Pro is honored, and grateful, while hoping to make the world a better place. In 2023, a third party audit found Pro's accuracy for rumors and scoops to be 92.5%. SOCIAL MEDIA: X: http://x.com/wdwpro1 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@WDW_Pro EMAIL: wdwpro@thatparkplace.com
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devilman013

“Critics noted that while Anthony Mackie capably assumes the mantle of Captain America“

Press X to doubt.

Bunny With A Keyboard

Even Walker handled it better. Walker killed a terrorist in hot blood after his partner got killed by the same guy. Wilson sympathized with the terrorist leader and refused to fight her.

Mad Lemming

I checked the-numbers for this movie’s ticket sales per day just yesterday and that was not a pretty picture. Unfortunately for Disney, it’s the exact same picture I’ve seen with the overwhelming majority of their releases these past few years. Shill media tries to paint the opening weekend as a sign of success only for the veneer to come off a week later.

Marvel doesn’t have a future at this point. Disney would actually be money ahead to just cancel anything slated and can what’s already in production for tax write-offs. The MCU is dead and Disney killed it.

CleatusDefeatus

I mean, no matter their output, marvel is anathema to me and mine for the foreseeable future. But bob iger should still have the keys to Walt’s kingdom!

CleatusDefeatus

May I present: bob iger, everyone! bob iger!

CleatusDefeatus

That lead picture is all black. Director, actor, and actress! I assume all the trade rags will break down the viewing demographics and show that 90-95 percent of black American showed up for this flick. Full transparency, vibe. Publish a story if this cinematic windfall for black America.

James Eadon

They race-swapped Captain America to Captain BLM.
The elephant in the room that people are terrified to mention, is that this race-swapping directly led to the audience staying away. (And, also, indirectly, as they tried to paper over the cracks with re-shoots after bad screenings, pushing up costs dramatically. Rework is insanely expensive, and bad for morale).
Hollywood, I am available for consultancy on how to make movies popular, not woke. And, yes, race-swapping IS woke.

Last edited 1 year ago by James Eadon