Disney and Lucasfilm’s The Mandalorian and Grogu continued its downward spiral at the global box office this weekend, and the latest numbers suggest the film is now heading toward a major record for the Star Wars franchise.
After another rough weekend, the film managed just $4.7 million domestically, a 52.8% drop from the previous frame. Its domestic total now stands at roughly $165 million, while worldwide earnings have reached only $315 million.
Just as concerning for Lucasfilm is the speed at which theaters are dropping the film. After losing 945 locations the previous week, The Mandalorian and Grogu was removed from another 675 theaters this weekend. In the span of two weeks, the movie has lost more than 1,600 screens across North America.
Those numbers paint a troubling picture for a film that was supposed to bring one of Disney’s most successful streaming properties to the big screen.
Unlikely to Beat Solo
For years, Solo: A Star Wars Story has been viewed as the low-water mark for Star Wars at the box office.
Released in 2018, Solo finished its theatrical run with approximately $393 million worldwide. At the time, that result was viewed as a major disappointment for a franchise that had previously produced billion-dollar blockbusters.
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Now, however, The Mandalorian and Grogu appears unlikely to even reach that figure.
Sitting at $315 million worldwide, the film would need nearly another $80 million just to catch Solo. Given the movie’s steep declines, shrinking theater count, and rapidly slowing daily grosses, that target appears increasingly out of reach.
Should the film finish below Solo, it will become the lowest-grossing live-action Star Wars movie ever released.
Every Star Wars Movie Has Earned More
The significance of that potential record becomes clear when comparing The Mandalorian and Grogu to the rest of the franchise.
Pedro Pascal unmasked in The Mandalorian – YouTube, Star Wars
Looking at raw worldwide box office totals, every live-action Star Wars movie has earned more:
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens — $2.056 billion
- Star Wars: The Last Jedi — $1.323 billion
- Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker — $1.074 billion
- Rogue One: A Star Wars Story — $1.055 billion
- Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace — $1.046 billion
- Star Wars: Episode III – Revenge of the Sith — $868 million
- Star Wars — $775 million
- Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones — $656 million
- The Empire Strikes Back — $550 million
- Return of the Jedi — $482 million
- Solo: A Star Wars Story — $393 million
- The Mandalorian and Grogu — $315 million (current)
That alone is enough to put the film at the bottom of the live-action rankings. But the picture becomes even more dramatic when inflation enters the conversation.
Inflation Makes The Gap Even Worse
Adjusted for inflation, the biggest Star Wars films generated numbers that completely dwarf what The Mandalorian and Grogu is expected to finish with:
- Star Wars — approximately $3.3-$3.8 billion
- The Empire Strikes Back — approximately $2 billion
- The Phantom Menace — approximately $2 billion
- The Force Awakens — approximately $2 billion
- Return of the Jedi — approximately $1.7-$1.8 billion
- The Last Jedi — approximately $1.6 billion
- Revenge of the Sith — approximately $1.4 billion
- Rogue One — approximately $1.35 billion
- Attack of the Clones — approximately $1.2 billion
- The Rise of Skywalker — approximately $1.15 billion
- Solo: A Star Wars Story — approximately $495 million
- The Mandalorian and Grogu — $315 million
The Mandalorian and Grogu – Star Wars, YouTube
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After accounting for inflation, Solo would still sit roughly $180 million ahead of The Mandalorian and Grogu.
The original 1977 Star Wars film generated the equivalent of more than $3 billion in today’s dollars, meaning The Mandalorian and Grogu will likely finish with less than one-tenth of the inflation-adjusted earnings of the movie that launched the franchise.
A Warning Sign For Lucasfilm
What makes these results particularly concerning is that The Mandalorian was widely viewed as one of Lucasfilm’s strongest brands.
The Disney+ series helped turn Grogu into a merchandising phenomenon and was often cited as proof that Star Wars could still connect with audiences after years of division among fans.
Yet that popularity has not translated into theatrical success.
The Mandalorian and a Hutt – Star Wars, YouTube
Instead, audiences appear to be treating the movie as optional viewing, and exhibitors are responding by pulling it from theaters at an aggressive rate.
Unless something changes dramatically over the coming weeks, The Mandalorian and Grogu appears headed toward an unwanted place in Star Wars history. Not only is it likely to finish below every Disney-era Star Wars film, but it is also on pace to become the lowest-grossing live-action Star Wars movie ever released.
For a franchise that once dominated the global box office, that would be a staggering fall.
How do you feel about this Mandalorian and Grogu box office milestone? Sound off and let us know your thoughts!
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